Table 5 The optimal GARX models for EQ4-4.9 in terms of earthquakes and solar activities

EQ4-4.9

1 - 5 7 11 - 12 14

EQ3-3.9

1 4 6 8 10 11

EQ5-5.9

2 4 6 8 9-12 14

EQ6-6.9

2-4 6-8 11 13 14

EQ7-7.9

1-3 5 7 11 14

EQ8-9.9

1 9-12 13

B

3 6 7 9 11 12

0.5968

22613.1

μ _t of PO (μ _t )

T

2 3 5 7 8

D

2 4 7 10 11

V

3 4 5 10

P

1 2 4 7 10

Ey

1 3 5 8 11 13

SSN

7

DST

5 7 8 10 11

PCI

3 4 6 9 14

EQ4-4.9

1 - 4 7 10 13

EQ3-3.9

1 8 13

EQ5-5.9

1 2 4 5

EQ6-6.9

3

EQ7-7.9

1

EQ8-9.9

1

B

0.5570

18793.6

μ _t of NB (μ _t ,σ)

T

10

D

V

5

P

Ey

SSN

7

DST

PCI

EQ4-4.9

4

EQ3-3.9

EQ5-5.9

7

EQ6-6.9

1

EQ7-7.9

EQ8-9.9

σ _t of NB (μ _t ,σ _t )

B

0.5311

18560.0

with the estimated μ _t

T

given in the above

D

1 12

V

P

Ey

SSN

DST

PCI