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On the one-sided maximum of Brownian and random walk fragments and its applications to new exotic options called “meander option”

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Abstract

We consider some distributions of one sided maxima of excursions and related variables for standard random walk and Brownian motion. We propose some new exotic options called meander options related to one of the fragments: the meander. We discuss the prices of meander options in a Black-Scholes market.

AMS Subject classification 60J55; 60J65; 91B28

Introduction

1.1 Two-sided maxima for BW and RW

In our previous paper ([3]), distributions of

sup t θ | B t | , sup t g θ | B t | , sup t d θ | B t |
(1)

and

sup t θ | Z t | , sup t g θ | Z t | , sup t d θ | Z t |
(2)

were investigated where ( B t ,t0) denotes Brownian Motion (written later as BM), whereas ( Z t ,t={0,1,2,}) denotes a standard Random Walk (:RW), i.e: Z t = ξ 1 ++ ξ t where ξ 1 ,, ξ t are i.i.d. and P(ξ1=1)=P(ξ1=−1)=1/2.

For u0, g u =sup{su: B s =0}, d u =inf{s>u: B s =0} and θExp( λ 2 2 ) is independent of BM, whereas in the RW case for u, g u =sup{su: Z s =0}, d u =inf{s>u: Z s =0} and θ Geom (1−q) i.e: P(θ=k)=(1−q)qk for k0) is independent of RW.

In our previous paper, we also discussed some relations between the functional equation for the Riemann zeta function and the maximum of Brownian excursion, as well as some infinite divisibility properties of d θ g θ , i.e.:

E e μ ( d θ g θ ) = m μ + m + μ = exp 0 ( 1 e μx ) dx 2 x 0 x 1 π e my y ( x y ) dy
(3)

where θ Exp (m), which means that the length d θ g θ of the excursion straddling θ is infinitely divisible and its Lévy Khintchin density is the Laplace transform of the arcsine law × 1 2 x .

For more on these two topics, see, e.g. Biane-Pitman-Yor [2] and Bertoin-Fujita-Roynette-Yor [1].

In this paper, instead of two-sided maxima, we shall consider one sided maxima for these fragments and investigate their distributions.

1.2 New exotic options called “Meander Option”

Using these mathematical results, we consider some application for mathemtical finance. We define “meander options”, the payoff of which is defined by the meander of stock value process above a strike price K before a maturity time T. For example,

  • Payoff of “meander lookback call option” = max g T ( K ) u T ( S u K ) + , where x + =max(x,0) and S t is a stock value process, g T ( K ) =sup{t<T| S t =K}.

The financial meaning of meander lookback option is the following: If we consider a usual lookback option (with payoff: max 0 u T ( S u K ) + the price of this option is sometimes extremely high. So partial lookback option (with payoff: max u J ( S u K ) + where J[0,T] is considered and sometimes traded. Meander lookback option is one example of this partial lookback option with closed price formula.

1.3 Self-explanatory tables for computations

We now present our results in the form of two self-explanatory Tables.

1.4 Organisation of our paper

In section 2, we indicate how to obtain the formulae for the distributions of the six maxima in Table 1, either for BM or for RW.

Table 1 A list of interesting maxima

In section 3, we do the same for Table 2. In section 4, we apply some of the above results to get the price of the meander lookback option; to do this, we first compute at independent exponential time, then invert the Laplace transform.

Table 2 A list of joint distributions

Computations of distributions for the six maxima

Notation: For clarity, we write: P(Γ||Λ) for P ( Γ Λ ) P ( Λ ) and P(Γ||X=x) for the conditional law of Γ, given X.

P sup u θ B u A = 1 P sup u θ B u A = 1 P θ T A = 1 E exp λ 2 T A 2 , where T A = inf { t : B t = A } = 1 e λA .
(4)
P sup u θ Z u < A = 1 P sup u θ Z u A = 1 P θ T A = 1 E q T A where T A = inf { t : Z t = A } = 1 α A .
(5)
P sup t g θ B t A = P g θ T A = P θ d T A = 1 P ( θ d T A ) = 1 E exp λ 2 2 d T A = 1 E exp λ 2 2 T A × E exp λ 2 2 T A where T A = inf { t : B t = A } = 1 e 2 λA
(6)
P sup t g θ Z t < A = P g θ < T A = P θ < d T A = 1 P θ d T A = 1 E q d T A = 1 E q T A E q T A = 1 α 2 A .
(7)

We start with:

P sup t g θ B t A P sup g θ t θ B t A = P sup t θ B t A ,
(8)

since pre- g θ events and post- g θ events are independent. (see Revuz-[4], Chapter XII).Then, we get:

P sup g θ t θ B t A = 1 e λA 1 e 2 λA = 1 1 + e λA
(9)

For random walk, we do similarly as with the preceding argument:

P sup t g θ Z t < A P sup g θ t θ Z t < A = P sup t θ Z t < A .
(10)

Then we get:

P sup g θ t θ Z t < A = 1 α A 1 α 2 A = 1 1 + α A .
(11)
P sup t d θ B t A = P d θ T A = 1 P θ > g T A = 1 E exp λ 2 g T A / 2 = 1 e λA λA sinh λA = 1 1 e 2 λA 2 λA ,
(12)

since E exp λ 2 g T A 2 E exp λ 2 2 ( T A g T A ) =E exp λ 2 2 T A holds.

P sup t d θ Z t < A = P d θ < T A = 1 P θ g T A = 1 E q g T A = 1 α A A α 1 α α A α A = 1 1 A 1 α 1 α 1 α 2 A
(13)

If xA,

P sup θ t d θ B t A | | B θ = x = 1 x + A , where x + : = max ( x , 0 ) .
(14)

Clearly if Ax, P sup θ t d θ B t A | | B θ = x =0.Then we get:

P sup θ t d θ B t A = 0 A 1 x + A f B θ ( x ) dx = 0 A 1 x A λ e λx dx = 1 1 e λA λA .
(15)

If xA,

P sup θ t d θ Z t < A | | Z θ = x = P T 0 < T A x = 1 x A .
(16)

Clearly if Ax, P sup θ t d θ Z t A | | Z θ = x =0.Then we get:

P sup θ t d θ Z t < A = k = 0 A 1 k A P Z θ = k = 1 1 + α 1 α 1 α 1 α A A
(17)

where we used the following facts:

E t Z θ = k = 0 t + t 1 2 k ( 1 q ) q k = 2 ( 1 q ) q α 1 α k = 0 α t k + 1 + k = 0 α k t k .
(18)

Then

P Z θ = k = 1 α 1 + α α k , k
(19)

and we see that

P | Z θ | = k = 1 α 1 + α k = 0 2 1 α 1 + α α k k 1 .
(20)
P sup g θ t d θ B t A = P sup t d θ B t A P sup t g θ B t A = 1 1 e 2 λA 1 2 λA .
(21)
P sup g θ t d θ Z t < A = P sup t d θ Z t < A P sup t g θ Z t < A = 1 α A A α 1 α α A α A 1 α 2 A = 1 1 α 2 A 1 A 1 α 1 α
(22)

Computations of joint distributions

P sup u θ B u A , B θ dx = E ( P ( X A , X Y dx | X ) ) = E 1 X A 1 X x λ e λ ( X x ) = λ 2 e λx e 2 λ max ( A , x ) dx
(23)

where we put X= sup u θ B u , Y= sup u θ B u B θ and XYE x p(λ), X and Y are independent.

P sup t g θ B t A , B θ dx = P sup t g θ B t A P B θ dx = e 2 λA λ 2 e λ | x | dx
(24)

since pre- g θ events and post- g θ events are independent. (see Revuz -Yor[5], Chapter XII).

We start with:

P sup t g θ B t A P sup g θ t θ B t A , B θ dx = P sup t θ B t A , B θ dx ,
(25)

since pre- g θ events and post- g θ events are independent.

Then, we get:

P sup g θ t θ B t A , B θ dx = λ 2 1 1 e 2 λA 1 x A e λ | x | e λx 2 λA dx
(26)
P sup t d θ B t A , B θ dx = P sup t θ B t A , sup θ t d θ B t A , B θ dx = P sup θ t d θ B t A | | B θ = x , sup t θ B t A × P B θ dx , sup t θ B t A = P sup θ t d θ B t A | | B θ = x P B θ dx , sup t θ B t A = 1 x + A 1 x A λ 2 e λ | x | e λx 2 λA dx
(27)

by the Markov property at θ.

If xA,

P sup θ t d θ B t A , B θ dx = P sup θ t d θ B t A | | B θ = x P B θ dx = 1 x + A λ 2 e λ | x | dx.
(28)

If x>A, the result is trivially 0.

P sup g θ t d θ B t A , B θ dx = P sup t d θ B t A , B θ dx P sup t g θ B t A = 1 x + A 1 e 2 λA 1 x A λ 2 e λ | x | e λx 2 λA dx.
(29)

In the following section, we state applications of these exact computations to price some exotic options which we call “Meander Options”.

Price of some meander options

4.1 Option price at independent exponential time

We consider the following Black Scholes Model under the risk neutral measure Q:

dS t = r S t dt + σ S t dW t , S 0 = S
(30)

where S t is the stock value at time t, r is the risk free rate, and σ is the volatility.We get:

S t = S exp r 1 2 σ 2 t + σ W t
(31)

Then the risk neutral valuation for derivative with payoff Y at maturity time T gives V0(Y), the present value of derivative Y:

V 0 = E e rT Y
(32)

If Y is of the form ϕ(F T ), instead of fixed time T, it may be more convenient to work at time θ, an independent exponential time, because using such θ often makes expressions simpler than at fixed time T.

There are 2 ways to access such results.

First attitude:

  1. a)

    to obtain the law of F t ;

    in fact, very often for this, it is simpler to consider F θ , θExp(λ), and to invert the Laplace transform to get the law of F t . Then, compute E(ϕ(F t )) for the particular ϕ of interest.

  2. b)

    second attitude: Start directly with

    λ 0 e λt E ϕ F t dt = E ϕ F θ
    (33)

    and invert the Laplace transform.

In fact, there is the commutative diagram:

which indicates that we may use either route from NW to SE.

First we consider the case ϕ=f(S T ) which is only dependent on the final stock value S T .

C = E e f S e r 1 2 σ 2 θ + σ W θ = E exp r 1 2 σ 2 σ W θ 1 2 r 1 2 σ 2 σ 2 + r θ f S e σ W θ ( Cameron-Martin ) = E exp 1 2 r σ + σ 2 2 θ exp r 1 2 σ 2 σ W θ f S e σ W θ = λ λ E exp r 1 2 σ 2 σ W θ f S e σ W θ where θ Exp λ + 1 2 r σ + σ 2 2 λ = λ + 1 2 r σ + σ 2 2 = λ λ e r σ σ 2 x f S e σx 2 λ 2 e 2 λ | x | dx
(34)

Generally we get that E( e αθ f( W θ ))= 0 e αt E(f( W t ))λ e λt dt= λ λ + α E(f( W θ )) where we used that for θExp(λ),then θ Exp(λ+α).

We also used the simple facts E e α W θ =E E e α W θ | | θ =E e α 2 θ 2 = 2 λ 2 λ α 2 = e αx 2 λ 2 e 2 λ | x | dx then, we get

f W θ ( x ) = 2 λ 2 e 2 λ | x | .
(35)

In the case of a call option, f(S T )=(S T K)+. We want to get the call option price when KS.

C = λ λ log K / S σ e r σ σ 2 x S e σx K 2 λ 2 e 2 λ | x | dx = λ λ log K / S σ S 2 λ 2 e 2 λ σ r σ σ 2 x dx λ λ log K / S σ K 2 λ 2 e 2 λ r σ σ 2 x dx = λσ 2 λ 2 λ r σ 2 σ 2 4 S 2 λ σ r σ 2 + 1 2 K 2 λ σ + r σ 2 + 1 2
(36)

We get the usual Black-Scholes formula by inverting the above with respect to λ.

4.2 Price of meander lookback option

V 0 ( Meander lookback option up to time θ ) = E e max g θ ( K ) u θ S e exp ( ( r 1 2 σ 2 ) u + σ W u ) K + .
(37)

In the following, we calculate the above in two cases: a) SK and b) SK

a)

SK

E e f max g θ K t θ S t = E e f max g θ K t θ S t , θ τ K + E e f max g θ K t θ S t , θ < τ K = E e r τ K E e f max g θ K t θ K e σ W t + r 1 2 σ 2 t (by memoryless property) = E e r τ K E e e r σ σ 2 W θ 1 2 r σ σ 2 2 θ × f max g θ K t θ K e σ W t (by Cameron-Martin) = E e r τ K λ λ E e r σ σ 2 W θ f max g θ K t θ K e σ W t = λ λ E e r τ K A x 0 e r σ σ 2 x f K e σA × ∂A λ 2 1 1 e 2 λA e λx e λx 2 λA dxdA = λ λ E e r τ K A x 0 e r σ σ 2 x f K e σA × λ 2 4 sinh λx sinh λA 2 dxdA ( )
(38)

b) SK

E e f max g θ K t θ S t = E e f max g θ K t θ S t , θ τ K + E e f max g θ K t θ S t , θ < τ K = E e r τ K E e f max g θ K t θ K e σ W t + r 1 2 σ 2 t + E e f max g θ K t θ S t , min g θ K t θ S t K = ( ) + λ λ 0 dbf S e σb × ∂b e r σ 2 1 2 log K S sinh b 2 λ + μ 2 + e r σ σ 2 b sinh 1 σ log K S 2 λ + μ 2 sinh b 1 σ log K S 2 λ + μ 2
(39)

For call option i.e. f(x)=(xK)+, we obtain that by some elementary calculation,

a) when SK, the price equals:

K 8 λ + 1 2 r σ + σ 2 2 K S r σ 2 1 2 1 2 r σ 2 2 + 2 r σ 2 × ζ ( 3 ) 2 λ σ 2 λ , λ σ 2 r σ 2 λ , 3 λ σ 2 r σ 2 λ ( )
(40)

where ζ ( 3 ) (A,B,C):= l = 0 1 ( l + A ) ( l + B ) ( l + C ) .

Especially, if σ2=2r, the price equals K 8 λ + σ 2 2 K S 2 λ σ 2 ζ ( 3 ) λ σ 2 λ , 2 λ σ 2 λ , 3 λ σ 2 λ .

b) when SK, the price equals: ()+ λ λ + 1 2 r σ + σ 2 2 1 K S r σ 2 1 2 ( S K ) + σS 0 e σb e r σ 2 1 2 log K S sinh b 2 λ + r σ σ 2 2 + e r σ σ 2 b sinh 2 λ + r σ σ 2 2 2 σ log K S sinh b 1 σ log K S 2 λ + r σ σ 2 2 1 db .

Condolences

Prof. Marc Yor passed away suddenly on January 9 2014. He brought so many gifts to our mathematics. We will never forget him.

References

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    Bertoin J., Fujita T., Roynette B., Yor M.: On a particular class of self-decomposable random variables: the durations of a Bessel excursion straddling an independent exponential time. Prob. Math. Stat. 2006, 26 (2): 315-366.

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    Biane P., Pitman J., Yor M.: Probability laws related to Riemann zeta and theta functions. Bull. AMS. 2001, 38: 435-469. 10.1090/S0273-0979-01-00912-0.

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    Fujita T., Yor M.: On the remarkable distributions of maxima of some fragments of the standard reflecting random walk and Brownian Motion. Prob. Math. Stat. 2007, 27 (1): 89-104.

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    Revuz, D., Yor, M.: Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion, Third edition. Springer Velrag (2005)

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    Yor M., Chesney M., Geman H., Jeanblanc-Picqué M.: Some combinations of Asian, Parisian and barrier options. Mathematics of derivative securities. Edited by: Dempster MH., Pliska SR. 1997, Cambridge University Press, UK

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Correspondence to Takahiko Fujita.

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Keywords

  • Standard random walk
  • Standard Brownian motion
  • Excursion
  • Meander
  • Exotic option
  • Black Scholes market